Sunday, November 23, 2025

Canada–United States Energy Trade: The $126 Billion Lifeline

Lifelines Power North America

Every day, the equivalent of more than four million barrels of oil, eight billion cubic feet of natural gas, and enough clean electricity to power millions of homes flows south across the world’s longest undefended border. In 2024, this invisible river of energy was worth approximately US$126.6 billion — making energy by far the most valuable commodity traded between Canada and the United States.
For Americans, Canada is not just a neighbor; it is the single largest, most reliable, and most secure source of imported energy. For Canadians, the U.S. market is essentially the only buyer for the vast majority of the country’s oil, natural gas, uranium, and surplus hydroelectricity. The relationship is less a “trade” in the classic sense and more a deeply integrated continental energy system.
Energy Source Volume Exported to U.S. Value (2024) U.S. Market Share Supplied by Canada
Crude Oil 4.1 million barrels per day ~$84 billion 62% of all U.S. crude imports
Natural Gas 8.5 billion cubic feet per day ~$29 billion 99% of all U.S. natural gas imports
Refined Products & NGLs ~300,000 barrels per day ~$11 billion
Electricity (mostly hydro) 36.1 terawatt-hours (net) ~$2 billion 85% of all U.S. electricity imports
Uranium (U₃O₈) ~3,500 tonnes ~$600 million ~25% of U.S. reactor fuel
TOTAL ~$126.6 billion


  • Saskatchewan: Home to the world’s highest-grade uranium mines (McArthur River, Cigar Lake) and growing heavy-oil production.
  • British Columbia: Fast-rising natural-gas exporter (thanks to LNG Canada and Coastal GasLink) plus significant hydro from the Peace and Columbia rivers.
  • Ontario, Quebec, Manitoba: The hydroelectric trio. Together they sent about 24 TWh south in 2024, with Ontario alone exporting more electricity than the next five provinces combined.
  • Newfoundland & Labrador: Offshore oil (Hebron, Terra Nova, Hibernia) and growing hydro exports via the Maritime Link.
  • New Brunswick: The Irving refinery in Saint John is a major supplier of gasoline and diesel to the U.S. Northeast.
The territories and the remaining provinces contribute less than 2% combined.Why It Matters
  1. Energy Security
    Canada is the only foreign supplier that shares a 5,500-mile integrated pipeline and transmission grid with the United States. No tankers, no straits, no geopolitical choke points.
  2. Economic Scale
    Energy exports to the U.S. represent about 21% of Canada’s total merchandise exports and directly or indirectly support roughly half a million Canadian jobs.
  3. Clean Energy Dimension
    Every kilowatt-hour of Canadian hydroelectricity that crosses the border displaces higher-carbon generation in New England, New York, and the Midwest. In 2024, those 36 TWh avoided approximately 20 million tonnes of CO₂ — equivalent to taking four million cars off the road for a year.
  4. Nuclear Fuel Security
    Saskatchewan uranium powers about one in five U.S. nuclear reactors, and new U.S. policy is explicitly encouraging even deeper reliance on non-Russian sources.
Looking Ahead2025 and beyond will likely see:
  • Further growth in Canadian oil exports as the Trans Mountain Expansion reaches full capacity (~890,000 b/d additional).
  • A surge in British Columbia natural-gas exports once LNG Canada Phase 1 starts up (14 million tonnes per year, most of it destined for Asia, but freeing up U.S. supply).
  • Recovery of hydroelectric exports as reservoirs refill after the 2023–2024 drought.
  • Continued strong demand for Canadian uranium as the U.S. and its allies diversify away from Russia and Kazakhstan.
In an era of energy transition rhetoric, the hard reality remains: North America’s energy relationship is becoming more — not less — integrated. The $126 billion lifeline is not going away; it is growing, diversifying, and quietly underpinning the continent’s economic and environmental future.
Alberta: The undisputed heavyweight. Roughly two-thirds of the total value (~$82–89 billion) originates here — oil sands bitumen, conventional heavy oil, natural gas, and upgraders/refineries.Where It Comes From – A Provincial Portrait

Canada and the United States do not merely trade energy. They share it. 

Article suggested by Mack McColl, Written by Grok by xAI, Produced and Prepared for Publication on McColl Magazine