Wednesday, June 18, 2025

The end of ICE will be catastrophe in Canada

The estimates of economic ruin are inescapable

Banning the automobile gasoline and diesel engine is economic hari kiri

Kris Eriksen, in Canada @KEriksenV2 says, "So, now can we ALL agree that Canadians are in very, very, VERY DEEP trouble?"

"Hold my beer." says Prime Minister Carney:  

The Canadian federal government has mandated that all new light-duty vehicles sold by 2035 must be zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs), effectively phasing out new sales of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. This policy, detailed in the Electric Vehicle Availability Standard, sets interim targets of 20% ZEV sales by 2026 and 60% by 2030, with a complete transition by 2035.

Not one to back away from trouble, I decide to point out how much trouble. I write this discourse about how much trouble with the help of Grok.

First question: Who else is doing this? Norway, Vietnam, Indonesia, Holland, other Eurotrash. 

Who isn't? India, China (does whatever it wants), U.S.A., Russia. Certainly nobody with oil resources.

Do you know what Grok says about ending gasoline powered engines in Canada? It's economic disaster.

I wonder why nobody talks about it.  Where are the independent gas station operators? Where are the small business organizations? The Chambers of Commerce? 

It is a horrific story. Grok estimates the following: 

Total: 8,420–8,820 independent businesses could shut down by 2035 due to the ICE vehicle sales ban.

And that's not half of it. The apprenticeship and certification of tradespeople in automotive mechanics, schools that teach automotive mechanics, the research and development expertise in making better engines, the whole apparatus of this form of existence, is gone.

Let's ask Grok how many job losses this is forecast to cause. Grok says losses will be a significant hit to the Canadian economy. Don't forget these are good paying skilled jobs, from CEOs, to MBAs, investors, owners of medium-size enterprises, and their staff, then shop owners and journeymen mechanics who make good money, and automotive chains with managers and/or proprietors, shop owners with the lifts and the bays, who charge the big dollars per hour to maintain vehicles for people from all walks of life. Pun intended.

As we have seen, Carney has made a solemn vow to wipe out 10,000 businesses  and he is following through with harpooning an entire sector of the Canadian economy. Kind of like the whale hunts of the late 19th and early 20th centuries.

This whale hunt is for the businesses dying by 2035, and it will be starting now. For instance, the killing starts with asking who will apprentice for mechanic jobs that no longer exist?

Let's ask Grok how many jobs this is, because it will equate the number of lives, times the number of family members, dependent on middle class wage earners whose skills are now useless in Canada.

How many jobs, Grok?

"To estimate the number of jobs lost due to the potential closure of approximately 8,400–8,800 independent automotive and petroleum distributing businesses in Canada by 2035, we need to consider the average number of employees per business type and apply those figures to the projected closures. The estimate of 8,400–8,800 closures includes 6,520–6,820 automotive businesses (repair shops, parts suppliers, dealerships) and 1,900–2,000 petroleum distributing businesses (gas stations, fuel distributors), as outlined previously. Below, I’ll break down the job loss estimates for each sector based on available data and reasonable assumptions." 

Are ya ready?   

Groks says, "The closure of 8,400–8,800 independent automotive and petroleum distributing businesses in Canada by 2035 could result in approximately 78,100–84,600 job losses."

That's an extremely low estimate. 

Schools, teachers at schools, the business  of real estate for shops and stations, and schools, a planned extinction event for an entire economy.  

That's my next question.

How much is, let's say, 100,000 well-paying jobs in cash, Grok?

The Grok answer is:

High Estimate: $4.59 billion × 1.5–2 = $6.89–9.18 billion per year, declining to nothing in less than 10 years.

How many people do you think depend on average on a middle class wage earner in Canada? 

Grok estimates: Approximately 92,800–102,100 people (workers plus their direct dependents) rely on the income of these middle-class wage earners. There is a gradient of incomes all disappearing. 

By his promises, Carney is about to cripple no less than 200,000 hard working members and family in Canadian society and leave them for dead, according to these numbers. 

These numbers, these are very low, in comparison to what he is actually going to do to Canadians simply by keeping his promises to Canadians.

I'm gonna go for a drive to find an ocean view and watch the tide begin to overflow the city, because that's what we face if we don't entirely annihilate the Canadian citizen and his nation.

Addendum

Look at the training and job opportunities for auto mechanics!   

Copilot Answer

Auto mechanic training programs provide essential skills and knowledge for aspiring automotive technicians, with options for hands-on experience, online courses, and certification preparation

Types of Training Programs

Vocational and Trade Schools: Many students choose to attend vocational or trade schools that offer specialized programs in automotive technology. These programs typically last from six months to two years and include both classroom instruction and hands-on training with real vehicles and tools. Schools like Universal Technical Institute (UTI) provide comprehensive training on various vehicle systems, preparing students for careers in the automotive industry. 

Online Courses: For those seeking flexibility, online auto mechanic programs, such as those offered by Penn Foster, allow students to learn at their own pace. These programs cover essential topics like engine repair, electrical systems, and diagnostics, and prepare students for ASE certification exams. 

Manufacturer-Specific Training: Some programs offer advanced training specific to certain manufacturers, which can be beneficial for those looking to work with particular brands. This training often mimics real-world workflows and can enhance job prospects. 

Certification and Accreditation

ASE Certification: The Automotive Service Excellence (ASE) certification is a widely recognized credential in the industry. Many training programs are designed to prepare students for these certification exams, which can significantly enhance job prospects and earning potential. 

Accredited Programs: It's important to choose a program accredited by recognized organizations, such as the ASE Education Foundation, to ensure quality training and better job opportunities. 

Career Opportunities

Completing an auto mechanic training program can lead to various career paths, including:

Automotive technician

Service manager

Specialty technician (e.g., brakes, transmissions)

Shop owner or entrepreneur

Training not only equips students with technical skills but also enhances their confidence and job satisfaction, making them more appealing to potential employers. 

Conclusion

Whether through traditional vocational schools or flexible online programs, aspiring auto mechanics have numerous training options available to them. 

These programs provide the necessary skills and knowledge to succeed in the automotive industry, paving the way for a rewarding career.

LIARS

I suppose somebody with the infinite wisdom and intelligence of a Prime Minister  believes, probably, nobody in Canada will figure out that he is promised to annihilate several large sectors of Canada's economy, including automotives. Anything to do with it. GONE>

If you enroll in a school, and blow thousands of dollars getting trained in engine repair, in Canada you do this for no reason, because by the time you get trained, you  will have a  maximum 6 year career.

six years and out. For all the time you invested, and money.

That's what you are promised by the Liberal Party of Canada   

  Talk about this one, good sir.

https://whatmatterstometoday.blogspot.com/2025/06/the-end-of-ice-will-be-catastrophy-in.html

I imagine if you live close to the U.S. border you will be able to drive to a gas station and fill up your car, but by the time you park it in your driveway, it will be empty.

And how ironic will it be, that we Canadians will be selling them 6 million barrels per day of oil by then (presently almost 5 million BBD) and we cannot buy gasoline in Canada.

That's going to be strange, huh?   Ten years?  I bet it's gone in less than five years, fleeing to the U.S., even Mexico, anywhere but here. And who in their right minds believes the Liberals are the ones to pull off something as essential as a complete dismantling and transition in personal travel? 

Watch gas stations start disappearing tomorrow, mechanics moving to U.S., and parts stores disappearing by year's end, because nobody will be driving. Anything.

This starts now. 

Are there exemptions and provisions and some imaginary fuel source left over to keep the marine sector on either coast or surrounding the Great Lakes supplied with fuel. Those are ICE engines too.



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